Shakespeare might have pondered, “To be or not to be,” but in 2025, the question on many homeowners’ minds is far more practical:
“Should I choose a variable or fixed rate for my mortgage?”
With rising grocery bills, fluctuating markets, and interest rates shifting like spring weather, making the right mortgage decision matters more than ever. In this article, we’ll break down everything you need to know about variable-rate mortgages, how they compare to fixed rates, and how to decide what’s right for you.
🧠 Understanding the Basics: Fixed vs. Variable Mortgage Payments
Every mortgage payment comprises principal (what you owe) and interest (what you pay to borrow). The type of mortgage you choose—fixed or variable—impacts how these are calculated and how they can change over time.
🔄 What Is a Variable-Rate Mortgage?
A variable-rate mortgage means your interest rate can go up or down during your mortgage term, depending on the Bank of Canada’s rate decisions. There are two main types:
1. Fixed Payment Variable Mortgage
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Your monthly payment stays the same, but the breakdown between interest and principal changes.
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If rates increase, more of your payment goes toward interest, and less goes toward principal.
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If rates decrease, you pay off more principal faster.
2. Adjustable Payment Variable Mortgage
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Your monthly payment changes when interest rates change.
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You’ll always stay on track with your original amortisation schedule.
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As rates go up, payments go up. When rates drop, so do your payments.
📉 What Is a Fixed-Rate Mortgage?
With a fixed-rate mortgage, your interest rate and monthly payments stay the same for your term, typically 1 to 5 years.
This option offers predictability and stability, making it ideal for:
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Budget-focused buyers
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First-time homeowners
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Anyone who prefers peace of mind over market fluctuations
📊 How Interest Rates Are Set
Your mortgage rate doesn’t just appear out of thin air. It’s influenced by:
🏦 Variable Rates:
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Tied to your lender’s Prime rate, which is influenced by the Bank of Canada’s overnight lending rate.
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The BoC holds 8 rate announcements per year—each with the potential to impact your variable rate.
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Your rate = Prime ± a lender-specific adjustment
📈 Fixed Rates:
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Influenced more by the bond market than by the BoC.
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Tend to remain steady, even during periods of short-term volatility.
🔮 2025 Outlook: What’s Coming?
As of March 2025, the Bank of Canada’s policy rate is at 2.75%, down from 5% in 2023. This is promising news for those in or considering a variable-rate mortgage, but rates are still above the BoC’s 2% target.
Economists expect further drops in 2025, but nothing is guaranteed. Global economic trends, inflation, or trade tensions could reverse the direction.
⚠️ Risks of Variable vs. Fixed Mortgages
Every mortgage comes with some level of risk. Here’s how they compare:
💸 Variable-Rate Risks:
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Rising rates = higher payments or a longer amortisation.
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Rate changes can impact your cash flow and budget stability.
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In extreme cases, you could be required to make a lump sum payment to stay within terms.
💰 Fixed-Rate Risks:
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If rates drop, you’ll still be locked in at the higher rate.
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Breaking a fixed-rate mortgage to capitalise on lower rates often comes with a prepayment penalty.
✅ Which Mortgage Type Is Right for You?
There’s no one-size-fits-all answer. The best choice depends on your:
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Financial goals
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Risk tolerance
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Budget flexibility
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Employment stability
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Timeline in your home
As your local mortgage professional, I’m here to help you explore:
✔️ The pros and cons of fixed vs. variable
✔️ Whether to break your mortgage early
✔️ Budgeting for interest rate changes
✔️ How BoC announcements could affect your payments
✔️ Options available to you at renewal
📞 Let’s Find the Right Mortgage Strategy for You
Whether you’re buying your first home, renewing your mortgage, or looking to refinance, let’s talk. I’ll guide you through your options, provide clarity on current rates, and help you build a mortgage plan that fits your life—not just today, but for the future.
👉 Call, text, or email me anytime. No pressure—just honest advice.